A resetting world
Comments on swedish SOU2021:48
In a changing world - Sweden without fossil fuels in 2040 - Regeringen.pdf
The main purpose of the study is to
propose a date for when fossil fuels will be phased out in
analyse the conditions for introducing a national ban
sales of new petrol and diesel cars,
analyse how an EU ban on the sale of new petrol and
cars and a phase-out of fossil fuels in the EU can
make the necessary legislative proposals, but not in the field of taxation
area, where only measures may be analysed and the impact
The inquiry has been named the Phase-out Inquiry M 2019:04.
Sweden should lead the way in phasing out fossil fuels.
Since Sweden is moving into a world
that is also adjusting to achieve global climate targets, it means
that the phasing out of fossil fuels in Sweden needs to be
in a way that can also be implemented in other parts of the EU
and the world.
A possible ban on new petrol and diesel vehicles
is one of several policy instruments that could contribute to a
of fossil fuels.
2.1 Phasing out - when and how, not if
The Swedish Parliament has decided on national climate targets which include
that Sweden's greenhouse gas emissions should be net zero by
2045. In addition, the government has also expressed the goal that Sweden should
be a pioneer country and the first fossil-free welfare country.
Phasing out the use of fossil fuels in the transport sector and in
work machines follows as a consequence of these decisions, something that
government also notes in the Climate Policy Action Plan.
In the Action Plan, the government also notes that emissions from domestic
transport and work equipment need to reach zero in principle by
The main task of the inquiry will therefore be to analyse how
decisions can be implemented technically, economically and legally.
The task is to analyse what is required and when in time the phasing out needs to be
to implement the phase-out in accordance with the decisions taken.
decisions, not whether the phase-out should be implemented.
Bengt Ovelius comments:
The Swedish Parliament has decided that Sweden's greenhouse gas emissions should
to be net zero by 2045.
This is far too slow and is based on the IPCC's miscalculation that
global temperatures will stop when emissions stop.
Here we see the IPCC wrong curves (left) . Earth's rate of temperature increase cannot
be lower than that caused by the fact that we now have 3000 Gt too much CO2.
Therefore the curves on the right are more correct. This means that the whole concept
Zero Emissions 2045 is ineffective and climate policy must look different.
The only policy that can work is for the world to be climate neutral by 2025.
This can be achieved by adding 1% atmospheric methane to all fossil fuels.
After 2025, 200 Gt must be removed from the atmosphere annually. Realistic or not,
this is what the laws of nature dictate. Natural law does not negotiate,
Natural law is stronger than the IPCC's miscalculations. Nature will win.
As the proportion of atmospheric methane increases in all fossil fuels, the greenhouse effect decreases
at a rapid rate.
With this plan, we are already further ahead in 2025 than NetZero can be in 2050.
After that, the atmosphere will be fully repaired 20 years later, and sinking to
normal global temperature is likely to occur around 2080 due to the delay in oceans.
Analyse the conditions for introducing a national ban
on the sale of new petrol and diesel cars,
Future transport will be based on the internal combustion engine. Aggressive
development can, according to experts, drive emissions down to 30 g CO2/km
If these are gradually powered by atmospheric methane, emissions will be
- 3000 g/km (note minus) which means that a single such car plus
100 similar fossil-fuelled cars would be climate-neutral in total.
Electric cars will struggle to get below 90 g/km if everything is included.
So here we are comparing 90 g/km with -minus 3000 g/km which will make
super-entrepreneur Venod Khosla to be right:
Electric cars will leave no trace in the history books of the future.
We need technology that is infinitely better than electric cars
and it's within reach.