The entire climate action in three simple steps, A,B,C :
These are the three basic steps needed to make a comfortable transition into a world in balance:
A. Earth can be seen as placed in an oven. Oven temperature depends on the concentration of CO2 in air.
B. The heating of earth is delayed by several hundred years.
C. The real temperature of earth determines how fast CO2 has to be removed from the atmosphere.
The removal device can be a nano-technology funnel.
A. CO2 controls oven temperature
Now at 420 ppm CO2 the programmed temperature anomaly is +22C.
The modern factor climate sensitivity =cs is based on the logarithmic relation between the
CO2 ppm concentration in the atmosphere (parts per million) and temperature anomaly of earth.
t= (cs *1.442695041)* ln((ppm)/(275))
If climate sensitivity cs is 36 then the formula is in harmony with all the measurements from ice cores
and it also fits the NASA calculation of an earth having 100% CO2 and an overtemperature of +420C like Venus.
Now at 420 ppm the earth is programmed for an over-temperature of +22 C
B. Oven temperature + Delay controls real temperature
B: The real temperature anomaly of earth ahead..
Many countries are aiming at climate neutrality in the year 2050 but this is not enough.
We know from NASA that temperature is now rising with a rate of 0.035 C / year at 420 ppm CO2
and the goal is +22 C.
The time to the goal is approx. 22/0.035 = 600 years
If we have now reached +1.2 C anomaly and all global CO2 exhaust is stopped year 2020
then the continuation looks like this:
The real temperature anomaly of earth is tr= +1.2 + ((22-1.2)/(600))*(year-2020)
In climate politics it is often claimed that temperature rise stops as soon as global CO2 emissions stops.
This can't be true. The graph here illustrates the speed of the rising temperatures at zero CO2 emissions.
C. Real temperature controls removal Gton CO2/year
C: 600 Gton CO2/year must be removed.
It is obvious from this graph that we must force the CO2 concentration below 285 ppm
before temperature can go downwards.
We can also see that we must get there before year 2030 to respect the Paris Agreement
We calculate that there is 3000 Gton CO2 in the atmosphere and equally much in the oceans.
That is all together 6000 Gton and half of it must be removed to reach 285 ppm in the atmosphere.
It is easy to adjust these figures when more exact info is available.
If this reduction takes place between 2025 and 2030, then 600 Gton CO2 MUST be removed
We can unfortunately see that climate neutrality at 2025 is no solution.
Climate Neutrality 2050 is still more useless.
The entire climate politics is on the wrong path.
It is urgent to act and create a working plan.
The big fork in the road:
1. If the mathematical derivation above is wrong then the expertise is kindly asked
to put a finger on the error and explain the truth with crystal clear mathematics.
2. If the mathematical derivation above is correct, the laws are nature are talking:
Then it is just to surrender with a humble mind and accept the next challenge:
Systematically search innovative creativity that can be compared to nothing in the history of humanity.
We are approaching what Bill Gates said: Create something gigantic and do it faster than ever.
With the truth as foundation, it is possible to do an innovative quality job
and totally resolve the climate crises.
This will give us new technology that we can not even imagine today.
The solution hides in the nanotechnology.
Present climate politics with climate neutrality 2050 rushes towards a total disaster
and we already know the timetable. Everything above +1.5C will be dangerous
and a majority of all countries have agreed to follow the Paris Agreement.
In the Eemian age around 129,000 years ago, earth had 285 ppm CO2 and
+2C over temperature. Ocean was 10 m higher and super storms could move
1000 ton heavy boulder. That will destroy transportation, buildings and agriculture.
The Paris Agreement is about avoiding exactly that, no matter the cost.
En mer noggrann härledning
Ovanstående härledning är lite fyrkantig men ger ändå förbluffande rätt resultat.
En mer noggrann härledning leder fram till en differentialekvation
och den har en symbolisk lösning som vi ser som vår generella klimatformel.
Denna ekvation är motor i vår klimatkalkylator som togs fram år 2008.
Sett i backspegeln var prognosen 2008-2021 från kalkylatorn helt perfekt.
....medan IPCC tyvärr misslyckades totalt med huvudsakliga prognosen (+2C 2100 450 ppm )
vars grundläggande, felaktiga data nu utformar klimatlag och klimatpolitik.
En mindre web-version av klimatkalkylatorn finns en begräsad tid här.
Därmed kan kalkylatorns exeptionella egenskaper provas innan köp.
Här kan politiker leka med olika klimatpolitik och se konsekvenserna.
En analys som man bara kan få här.