Question 3

To the climate experts: What are your comments?  Confirm or reject ?

 

Here is the visual proof that the IPCC got it wrong:

 

If 100 years of CO2 emissions had occurred in a single day, the Earth's temperature would not keep up at all.

It would be a straight, red line, and it would be easy to think wrongly and believe that climate sensitivity is zero.

 

Current emissions over the last 100 years (NASA cs=3) have, from the planet's point of view, gone so fast that the temperature

has not kept up. Therefore the slope is quite small.

 

The temperature we see now is only a fraction of the temperature the Earth is programmed to reach.

 

From the angle of the NASA measurements we can see roughly estimate that the Earth needs about 600 years to

become a stabilized temperature that disappears into the cloud.

 

If the same emissions occurred over 5,000 years, the line would follow the grey field upwards

and this slope corresponds to climate sensitivity = 36.

 

cs000

 

 

Here the IPCC has made its dangerous thought-error: the slope of the stick tells how fast

emissions have taken place in the development of civilization,

but says nothing about the true climate sensitivity.

 

This has probably been confused by the IPCC for 40 years. What IPCC thinks

is climate sensitivity=3 is just a measure of how fast civilization has evolved.

 

The mathematical consequence is wrong projections, wrong CO2 budget,

wrong time lag CO2 to Temperature and a non-functioning NetZero policy.

 

We are seeing all this at once and the evidence is piling up.

This is embarrassing. It may be the worst and most dangerous mistake

in human history.

 

If this suspicion is correct, the IPCC must have a completely

new, functioning organization.

 

If this suspicion is wrong, the IPCC has to deliver a good explanation.

 

 

 

Scientists coming in 100,000 years to look at the ice cores

will again see a harmonious cloud of measurement points. The stick that now

sticking out will fold up over the next 600 years and become invisible.

 

They will see the true climate sensitivity which for millions of years has been 36.

From here, in 2022, we can now design a workable climate policy.

 

Not everyone will believe in climate sensitivity=36.

However, it is enough that climate sensitivity is shown to be in the range 4-36

for the whole climate policy to change.

There needs to be a comprehensive discussion on this.

 

Prof Johan Rockström: At 4-5C... climate sensitivity, the entire remaining emission space disappears in one fell swoop.In that case,we cannot stop global warming at 1.5C either.