The United Nations is perhaps the only unifying force the world has.
To save ourselves and the planet's other species, we must agree on what is fact,
writes UN Secretary-General António Guterres in the report "Our common agenda"
He appeals: 'The war on science must end. Decisions should be based on science and expertise".
In a survey sent out by DN to all Swedish universities, and answered by 212 scientists working on environmental and climate issues, more than half say they feel that trust in science has declined over the past five years.
More than a quarter say they have felt attacked by their surroundings because of their research or the way they have spoken in the media.
Confidence in science cannot be restored until people feel that scientists are telling the truth.
The UN, via the IPCC, claims that the time lag between new CO2 levels and new global temperatures
is almost zero. Therefore, Zero Emissions 2045 should work.
Young people understand for the most part, that this is not true at all. Therefore, there is a deep climate anxiety.
Moreover, climate scientists and the press refuse an open honest debate on this specific issue.
Researcher Örjan Hallberg wrote this around 2005:
According to an earlier report, the IPCC says that the climate has a thermal inertia between 120 and
150 years before the temperature increase has reached 50% of its final value.
But now, in the latest report, they have suddenly changed tactics. In order not to scare us to death
it now claims that the climate will stabilize quickly if we stop emitting greenhouse gases.
Our climate experts claim that the IPCC's report gives the best picture of what is to come
because it is based on the results of thousands of research papers.
Unfortunately, a compromise report like this from the IPCC probably does not tell the truth at all.
Since we already have data on the increase in atmospheric C02 since 1850
to the present day and also have good data on how temperatures have changed over that time, it is possible to simply have a computer search for the response curve that gives the best fit to that data. Such an exercise will confirm the 120-150 year response time for a sudden increase in C02 that the IPCC has previously claimed.
Lest words stand against words, it is important for young people to be able to do the climate calculations themselves
that Örjan Hallberg proposes. A good, educational teacher should now be able to give even primary school pupils
the powerful mathematical tools that the IPCC, SMHI and many climate experts seem to lack.
Just read The Evidence and Mathematics for Young People.
Building confidence means climate experts should point out the flaws in "Mathematics for young people",
or take the lead in changing climate policy.
So far I have tested climate experts for 15 years on this issue and so far all of them (most professors)
have thrown in the towel.
The main conclusion is that global temperatures will continue for 120-150 years before
50% of the final temperature is reached.
This means that Zero Emissions 2045 is an ineffective policy.
Moreover, we know that global temperatures are now rising at 0.03 C/year, and the trend is accelerating.
This will continue for 100-150 years, even if all emissions are stopped today.
After that, the temperature is only halfway to its target.
Perhaps the world's foremost climate scientist Prof James Hansen analyses the EEI
(Earth energy Imbalance) from the latest CERES satellite data. Conclusion:
..... models need 100 years to reach within 1/e of equilibrium warming, i.e. 63% of the equilibrium response.
Zero Emissions in 2045 can solve about 1% of the climate crisis.
The other 99% must come from sucking out 200 Gtonnes of CO2/year, starting no later than 2025.
Then we can also meet the Paris Agreement.
The most important task for climate experts would be to calculate these crucial figures.
Unfortunately, this calculation cannot be done as long as scientists believe in the wrong
time lag and the wrong climate sensitivity (=3) that thousands of IPCC scientists present to the world.
There is hope: primary school pupils will soon be able to make a correct calculation
and understand in depth the main point of the whole climate policy.
This corresponds to Greta's view:
When adults can't take responsibility, children have to take over.