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Mänsklighetens viktigaste beräkning: Jordens temperatursvar på olika klimatpolitik.
Klimatkänsligheten cs är nyckelfaktorn
1. En grupp mycket kända klimatforskare hävdar cs=2.4 "An Assessment of Earth's Climate Sensitivity Using Multiple Lines of Evidence""What caused Earth's temperature variations during the last 800,000 years?" Då fungerar nuvarande klimatpolitik, tidsfördröjningen är noll ochtemperaturen stannar när utsläppen upphör. Vi når +2C långt efter år 2100
2. James Hansen ger beviset för cs >= 4.8 Då måste hela klimatpolitiken rivas upp eftersom NetZero inte fungerar
3. Jag ger det enkla beviset för att cs=36 Då måste 200 Gton CO2 dras bort från atmosfär och oceaner per år, start nu. RC=600 år. Om alla utsläpp stoppas idag så fortsätter temperaturen att öka under kommande 600 år
För att nå kristallklar klarhet så är mitt förslag att ni klimatexperter gör en klimatkalkylator som vanligt folk och politiker kan använda. Detta är en veckas jobb och önskad specifikation finns här. https://ppm.today/index.html?climate-calculator.htm
Matematiken kan baseras på två fundamentala samband:
1. Själva definitionen för klimatkänslighet (känd i 120 år) t=cs*ln(ppmCO2/275)/ln(2) cs=klimatkänsligheten 2. Tidsfördröjning så som uppladdning av en kondensator
3. Ett andragrads polynom som beskriver CO2 utvecklingen framöver, politiskt styrd (NetZero mm)
Det ger följande enkla, ordinära differentialekvation
Ekvationen har en symbolisk lösning och kan därför användas i Excel och alla andra programplattformar som saknar förmåga att lösa differentialekvationer. I dessa kristallklara ekvationer ligger grunden fär en fungerande klimatpolitik
Tacksam om ni kan ge ert godkännande till dessa ekvationer eller föreslå något bättre. Tacksam om ni kan utveckla en klimatkalkylator som kan hantera alla värden på klimatkänslighet. Då förutsätts ingenting och användaren kan dra helt egna slutsatser.
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Humanity's most important calculation: Earth's temperature response to different climate policies.
The climate sensitivity cs is the key factor
1. a group of very famous climate scientists claim cs=2.4 "An Assessment of Earth's Climate Sensitivity Using Multiple Lines of Evidence""What caused Earth's temperature variations during the last 800,000 years?" Then the current climate policy works, the time lag is zero and thethe temperature stops when emissions stop. We reach +2C long after 2100
2. James Hansen gives the proof for cs >= 4.8 Then the entire climate policy must be torn up because NetZero does not work.
3. I give the simple proof that cs=36 https://ppm.today/index.html?danderyd-municipality.htm Then 200 Gton CO2 must be removed from the atmosphere and oceans per year, starting now. RC=600 years. If all emissions are stopped today, the temperature will continue to increase for the next 600 years
In order to achieve crystal clear clarity, my suggestion is that you climate experts make a climate calculator that ordinary people and and politicians can use. This is a week's work and the suggested specification is here. https://ppm.today/index.html?climate-calculator.htm
The math can be based on two fundamental relationships:
1. the definition of climate sensitivity itself (known for 120 years) t=cs*ln(ppmCO2/275)/ln(2) cs=climate sensitivity. 2. time delay such as the charging of a capacitor
3. a second order polynomial describing the CO2 development in the future, politically controlled (NetZero etc.).
This gives the following simple ordinary differential equation
The equation has a symbolic solution and can therefore be used in Excel and all other software platforms that lack the ability to solve differential equations. These crystal clear equations are the basis for a functioning climate policy.
Thank you if you can give your approval to these equations. or suggest something better. Grateful if you can develop a climate calculator that can handle all values of climate sensitivity. Then nothing is assumed and the user can draw their own conclusions.
Many thanks for the answer.
Of all the authors, only you are alive. As long as there is some life left, there is still great hope.
Peter Carter today: EMPERATURE ABOVE VERY WORST-CASE SCENARIO One hell of an unliveable future for today's children.
That is why I want to know the truth so that a true climate policy can be developed. Climate expertise has a key role to play here.
I'm trying to be scientifically accurate by pushing the argument to the very bottom. Then a meaningful discussion can be achieved.
I give three examples of different cs : 2.4 , 4.8 and 36
Your answer: "Is inconsistent with the LGM" Please explain in depth so that everyone can understand.
I give the definition of climate sensitivity (known for 120 years) t=cs*ln(ppmCO2/275)/ln(2) cs=climate sensitivity.
Your answer: Not based on physics Please explain in depth so that everyone can understand. Are you the first scientists in 120 years who has developed a new definition for cs ? That could give the Nobel Price. I am very curious to know !
Best regards Bengt
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