Many countries have signed something that the politicians of the world do not yet seem to understand because
the IPCC has given politicians the wrong information. The proof follows...
MAny countries have promised to try following the green +1.5C line (below)
Stopping all emissions TODAY will make the yellow field disappear.
What no one is talking about is that the grey field (CO2) must be gone within 20 years
if the Paris Agreement is to be respected.
The price tag is roughly estimated at 0.35 Million $ per person worldwide.
It could also be much less if the right innovations appear quickly (Even down to below zero = profit)
Methane also has to go, but the sales value of this can pay all the other bills and make the climate transition reasonably cost-free.
The technology must be invented NOW and a billion units must be in operation by 2025. Authorities and politicians will soon be completely helpless if this is not taken into consideration.
This needs to be started NOW, in the biggest collaboration between politicians and business in human history.
In the last report IPCC has miscalculated the graph below and this must be recognized quickly.
The IPCC's various projections in the last report must be tilted upwards.
They have simply forgotten to account for the biggest factor - the grey area in the above sketch.
This puts an entire world in existential danger and makes the upcoming Glasgow meeting meaningless.
The grey field:
We have 3000 Gt of "too much" CO2 in the atmosphere and it won't go away when emissions stop.
CO2 is a greenhouse gas and as long as it's there, it forces the earth's temperature upwards.
Vostok measurements show that we can link 275 ppm with ideal conditions, without overtemperature
as the year 1700 exhibited. (See graph below)
Time and time again, the Earth has had dangerous +2C at the same time as 285 ppm. So there is
historical evidence that +2C and 285 ppm are highly likely to be linked.
This means that the current 420 ppm wants to push the Earth upwards and this driving force is
not ending until the Earth reaches a temperature far, far above +2C.
From this we also see that the Earth's temperature cannot fall to desirable levels
until the atmosphere is less than 285 ppm.
Half a million years of data show that 285 ppm is associated with +2C
Significantly older data, perhaps 20 million years old, may contradict this.
Then an academic discussion arises.
Is 285 ppm really associated with +2C ?
If the probability is 1 per thousand that a house will burn down, you take out fire insurance.
Can the climate experts promise that 285 ppm is NOT related to +2C. Is this answer
so certain that there is not a one in a thousand chance that the climate expert is wrong ?