"An Assessment of Earth's Climate Sensitivity Using
Multiple Lines of Evidence"
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019RG000678
This scientific paper has a long list of excellent authors, is extensively peer reviewed and published on the prestigious AGU.
These types of scientific reports form the foundation of the world's climate policy.
Therefore, the review process is important and the authors must be able to defend
their scientific paper and explain the content, so that everyone can understand.
Page 56
A direct application of energy balance Equation 3 thus points to a moderate sensitivity of around 2.4 K having highest likelihood
There is a linear relationship between climate sensitivity and the climate time constant.
The relationship can be expressed mathematically as
RC= -30,91 + 18,359 * cs (years)
The proof of this is in the construction of our climate calculator.
The calculator, and the matematics behind,
can be provided on request. It is, to the best of our knowledge, the only calculator capable of calculating the earth's
temperature response at all different climate sensitivities
and values of RC.
Climate experts are encouraged to develop an even better
version of this calculator, because the results
say more about the state of the climate than all the supercomputer runs
so far. Discussions have taken place with prominent
climate professors who have shown great enthusiasm for this idea.
Month after month goes by and nothing happens, because the experts have
explained that this is outside their comfort zone.
When the truth emerges so blatantly and simply, it becomes
painfully uncomfortable.
Do we want to know the truth about the climate or not ????
cs (+C) RC(years)
2 5
2.4 13
3 24
4.8 57
36 600
The paper gives high probabilites in the cs=2 range.
This means a short stabilization time, RC= 5 - 20 years.
Then it can be argued that NetZero works, because
the temperature should stop when emissions cease.
The entire NetZero policy in the world is based on these inaccurate
estimates of climate sensitivity.
NetZero is therefore demonstrably a fake policy that cannot work.
Soon enough, this error will become obvious to ordinary people.
Shouldn't the experts be one step ahead? Or explain why the
paper is still correct !
The latest scientific paper from Prof. James Hansen provides
in evidence that climate sensitivity is 4.8 or more.
If all emissions are stopped today, the Earth will continue to warm for 57 years.
for 57 years. The whole NetZero policy falls,
The thinking error is thought to be due to the fact that all
calculations and simulations assume that the RC is short (about 20 years).
Then supercomputer simulations can not give climate sensitivity
above 3 because the computer is loaded with a circular reasoning.
If you play with the idea that RC=600 years and allow this,
then computer simulations should begin to show the reality.
The overall and universally valid principle for calculations;
Shit in = Shit out
I am giving multiple evidence that true climate sensitivity is > 36
Climate policy must change
This graph summarizes the climate situation.
(Suggestion: put it on the wall!)
In this single graph is the key to a functioning Climate Politics.
Comments are urgently welcome !
The climate experts want to see the IPCC line cs=3 as an explanation
to the temperatures measured by NASA.
Thus, most climate experts also say that the global
temperature stops rising immediately after a
cessation of emissions. No new technology is needed.
The only action will be to stop emissions.
The big, global error in thinking is that the IPCC has seen that
cs=3 agrees in the short term with NASA (see graph).
There is thus a dangerous error in thinking through circular reasoning.
The IPCC has determined cs=3 because it agrees with NASA.
in the graph.
The narrow distance is the time constant of negligible 5-20 years.
The IPCC seems not to have understood the bigger picture.
We are in fact on a line that will be raised by +24C
over the next 600 years.
The real explanation can be perceived symbolically
as the action of a weak violet spring (see graph)
which, with a time constant of 600 years, lifts the Earth's
temperature upwards.
The frightening conclusion is that the global temperature
will continue towards +24C for about 600 years after the
all emissions have ceased. NetZero will not work.
Even at +2C, it may not be within human power to
reverse the situation. We are currently balancing on the edge
to global catastrophe.
If someone in the future can write history books,
the biggest mystery will be why the professors did not
understood the situation.
It is probably a deeply human characteristic we see,
which is now repeated from the year 1850: Dr. Ignaz Semmelweis.
If it can be proved convincingly that I am wrong
then I will surrender with great joy because the
truth has triumphed and it will be easy to handle the climate crisis at cs=2.4
Then the scientific paper will also have passed a stress test
that can give the authors well deserved joy and satisfaction.
If I happen to be right, I assume that all the authors of
the scientific paper, surrender with great pleasure because
the path to truth provides a workable climate policy.
What suggestions do climate experts have for taking urgent
action to deal with the situation shown in the image below?
It is assumed that only 5% of climate understanding comes
from the academic sector. Why not open up for parties that
might have 95% of the answers ? Ref Innovations
